nancylebov (nancylebov) wrote,

Not looking forward to the aftermath of the next election

Unless there's a solid majority in the polls for one candidate that's reflected in the election results, half the country is going to think the election was stolen, except, perhaps, for a few mathematically inclined folks who think that really close elections are decided by noise.

There was a plausible argument in the Wall Street Journal back in 2000 about there being more and more close elections as both parties become equally good at running. Close elections are no more surprising than the way track and field times have been converging.

I wonder whether this is at all good for democracy--huge stakes are being decided by nothing much.
Tags: politics, prediction

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