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Ukraine and nukes - Input Junkie
March 20th, 2014
12:16 pm


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Ukraine and nukes

Would it have been better if Ukraine had been allowed to keep its nukes?

I'll explain as a comments
I just want to see the results

I don't have a strong opinion-- it seems to me that pressuring Ukraine to give up its nukes-- or not pressuring it-- involves a lot of estimates. The only things I'm sure of at this point if that if Ukraine had nukes, the current situation wouldn't have happened.

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(3 comments | Leave a comment)

Date:March 20th, 2014 04:28 pm (UTC)
Depends on what you mean be "better." Better for Ukraine? Probably. Better for the world? Probably not, as that means one more source for terrorist groups or rogue states to obtain nukes and an increased chance that they might actually get used.
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Date:March 20th, 2014 04:58 pm (UTC)
I suspect Putin would view a nuclear-armed Ukraine as a threat and make neutralizing it a top priority.

I've kicked around various scenarios but I really only see a happy ending for Ukraine happening as a by-product of Russia becoming peaceful and content.

"Poor $COUNTRY. So far from God, so close to Russia."
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Date:March 20th, 2014 05:46 pm (UTC)
I don't see why Putin would have considered a nuclear-armed Ukraine any more of a credible threat. It's not like anybody would actually use them. If anything, he might have grabbed the entire country back on the pretext that the new government was illegitimate and couldn't be trusted with nuclear weapons.
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